Büro F - Future Power Markets
We stand for the chances of distributed power systems.
We do market analyses and provide market access.
We develop new business models for future markets.
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New market report: Latest trends in the German energy transition enable new business models
Batteries and digitalization enable the creation of new business models for the direct supply of renewable energies. Get insights on the status of these technologies and the newest developments in Germany, one of the international indicator markets for the energy transition.
Opportunities through regional and tenant's electricity
16.09.2016: Direct marketing of electricity from renewable energy sources is becoming more and more attractive. Regional power supply and respective electricity rates as well as tenant's (sub-metered) electricity supply models are gaining momentum in the German power market. In a presentation at the annual event of the German association "Citizen's Energy", Büro F analysed the current market dynamics.
Batteries, Bits and Business
New market report on new business models that are evolving through the technological developments around battery storage and digitalization. Overview on dynamics in the German energy market regarding direct supply of renewables.
Information on the study and order details (pdf)
New business models for municipal utilities in Germany
15.07.2016: Through the combination of photovoltaics with battery systems, the direct local supply is becoming more and more attractive. Energy utilities now have the opportunity to activate prosumers as long-time customers. This can be achieved through the sale of hardware such as battery home storage kits in combination with the smart integration of the prosumers into the electricity markets (e.g. marketing of pooled storage capacity).
Büro F at Intersolar Europe: PV + Storage = Utility in a Box
16.06.2016: Meet us on the leading trade encounter of the European solar and storage industry in Munich:
Mo. 20 June, 16:30h: Presentation on the IEA-PVPS Panel "Enhancing PV Competitiveness with Energy Storage"
Tue. 23 June, 9:45h: Presentation at the "Q Cells Installation Innovation Award" (A1/270)
Home storage systems cost between 1,300-1,400€/kWh
20.06.2016: Büro F and pv magazine set up an index for home storage system prices in Germany. According to the first survey among installers and project developers, end customers typically pay between 1,300-1,400€/kWh usable storage capacity for a lithium-based home storage system. These prices are substantially below the average prices that were published for the second half of 2015 by RWTH Aachen.
What happens if the market for home storage units grows like the market for private PV units did between 2004-2011?
19.05.2016: Photovoltaic was once underestimated and laughed at - nowadays you see offers for solar demonstratively placed on the homepages of E.On, RWE, EWE & Co. What happened? There's one thing that renewables have that conventional energy sources don't: they emotionalize. The power of this "story" is now visible in the sales figures for home units. Although most unit owners would be better off with a PV unit optimized for their own needs, around 50% of the newly installed units are mounted on private rooftops together with home storage units. Are we on the verge of a storage unit boom?
Energy transition solved: Storage unit and digitalization show the way to the future of energy economy
07.04.2016: The digital integration of battery storage units into the energy system is the next big step in the energy transition, according to current studies by the Berlin-based consulting firm Büro F and enviacon international. The market research results are discussed and further developed with market leaders and scientists at the conference “Energy Storage Lab” on April 19, 2016 in Berlin.
What does "digitalization in the energy sector" really mean?
06.04.2016 - "Digitalization in the energy economy" is discussed often these days. But what does it really mean? We understand it as the IT-based communication link between various components geared toward the control and aggregation of production, creation of networks, storage and consumption. The potential and also risks of an increasingly digital linkage, especially for the integration of battery storage units, are discussed on April 19, 2016 at the conference "Energy Storage Lab" in Berlin: www.energystoragelab.de
Large-scale battery storage on the rise
20.01.2016 - According to the technical university RWTH Aachen, 20,000 home storage systems were installed last year. We are even seeing heightened market activity in the area of battery mass storage. After the installation of the first ten pilot plants in the megawatt area, at least nine more large-scale storage systems have been announced for the year 2016. On top of that, numerous projects are being developed, surfaces for transformer stations are being secured and feasibility studies are being carried out. Here is an outline map of large-scale storage in Germany:
Business models for operating large-scale storage systems:
Marketing of capacity on balancing markets
Currently, the most frequent business model for operators of large-scale storage systems is the participation in tenders for frequency control. According to data from Younicos/WEMAG, in the first operating year 2014/2015 the 5 MW large-scale storage system in Schwerin achieved revenues at an average of 3,810 euros per MW of primary operating reserve capacity provided weekly. The prequalification for battery storage systems in order to be able to participate in the control energy market is, however, described as very difficult. For example, the requirements for the large-scale storage system in Feldheim even changed during construction, according to information from informed sources.
Neighborhood storage systems
The energy provider MVV has developed a concept with „Strombank“ with which operators of PV and CHP plants jointly use a neighborhood storage system and take electricity as required. The investment costs are lower than for the installation of small home storage systems; yet, business models for the realization of neighborhood storage systems are still in the test phase.
Intake of electricity surpluses from PV and wind power plants
Operators of large PV and wind parks can integrate an electricity storage system to optimize their electricity marketing. For example, the 1.3 MW-large-scale storage system in Alt-Daber is fed by a 68 MWp solar park from Belectric. Next to the direct marketing of electricity according to the German renewable energy promotion scheme EEG, an additional source of income becomes viable via participation in the balancing markets.
New markets for electricity from renewable energy sources
14.12.2015 - Ideas for the direct and regional marketing of ecofriendly electricity are currently experiencing strong momentum. According to a survey carried out by Büro F among 42 energy market experts, “marketing of renewable energies” is the most frequently cited “interesting new business model”. The issue of regional direct marketing of renewable energies will in all likelihood even play an important role in the EEG 2016. Here is a systematic presentation of the current offers and market actors:
The overview makes clear that new sales channels are arising for RES electricity by means of direct sale and the optimization of private consumption. Next to the sale of “green electricity” from feed-in tariff plants, these also include regional electricity and peer-to-peer models, for example from unsubsidized plants. In the end, the pooling of prosumers and the current boom in tenant electricity are also relevant for sales channels for RES electricity. Technical solutions, business models and the demand for direct electricity products are thus arising. The potential here is analyzed in a current study by Büro F: “Energy Business Lab – New Business models in distributed and digitized electricity markets."
New study on successful models for energy companies
11.11.2015 - The market research firm “Büro F –New Energy Markets” is releasing a new study on actual success models for energy companies. The primary finding: successful energy suppliers will be, in the future, bringing together different roles under one roof and will evolve to become Pool Managers. They will produce their energy in a decentralized manner, will market renewable energy, finance new energy plants and steer flexible energy consumption. On one hand, these business models are tied to the usual tasks of the energy companies. On the other hand, companies can, via digital solutions and storage technologies, open up new business areas for themselves and combine the existent in a new way.
Büro F at the GETD#3 Summit: Presentation on October 10 in Berlin
05.10.2015 – At the GETD#3 Summit we will discuss the first results of the study “Business Lab Germany”. The market study is based on an expert survey on new business models in distributed and digitized energy markets. At the GETD Summit, topics surrounding the decentralized Web and the IoT (Internet of Things) will be discussed, the target group will first and foremost be Berlin tech startups.
More information and registration: http://get-d.net/home/events/getd-summit-hackathon-berlin-iii/
Market analysis: The second wave on the Chilean photovoltaics market
15.08.2015 – Is there any more market potential left for solar energy in Chile after the PV boom? The answer is: yes! In coming years, new PV hotspots will evolve through network expansion and the connection of the two composite systems SING and SIC. Learn where, when and in which segments new market chances are due to arise for project developers, component manufacturers and service providers. Büro F’s market analysis makes current insider knowledge from one customer’s project available for all.
The Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy’s white paper hardly brings impulses for the decentralization of energy provision
06.07.2015 - Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi) has presented a white paper with 20 concrete measures for further developing the power market. It quickly becomes clear: The white paper aims to flexibilize the existing system, and not to decentralize energy provision. In a short analysis, Büro F has compared statements from an expert survey on the most urgent adjustments to the regulatory framework with concrete measures in the BMWi’s white page. The conclusion:
- With the white paper, measures to flexibilize energy systems are initiated, yet the focus lies on the integration of fluctuating renewable energies into the existing system;
- The paradigm shift toward decentralized energy provision with high actor diversity is clearly thwarted (for example, there are no measures for: regionalizing wholesale trade, strengthening private consumption, integration of storage units);
- Impulses for new business models are created with the opening of markets for control energy, measures for load management and the subsidization of CHP plants;
- Numerous new business models for battery storage devises and private consumption will however not have attractive regulative framework conditions even after the implementation of the measures laid out in the white paper.
Trade fair report Intersolar Europe 2015: the product “electricity” in focus
15.06.2015 - Electricity generation by photovoltaics has become a given. Now the focus is becoming more and more the use and marketing of inexpensive solar energy. Correspondingly, a heavy rush dominated at the leading trade fair Intersolar Europe among the providers of storage solutions and integrated energy systems. Although the products and services presented hardly pay off yet: This is where the next push toward distributing the power supply is to be expected. Classic solar companies, on the contrary, presented above all gradual improvements in the cell and module technologies to increase performance class.
Inform yourself with Büro F’s short overview of the topics of this year’s Intersolar.
Survey on current prices of solar thermal systems completed
20.05.2015 – A solar thermal plant including storage currently costs a single-family house around 5,000 euros. This is one of the results of a telephone and online survey that Büro F has carried out in cooperation with a large German renewables association and an international consulting firm. 25 installers and wholesalers were asked for current estimates of system prices and installation and maintenance costs. The results serve as international reference prices for a comparative study and as the basis for profitability calculations for solar thermal in Germany.
Büro F becomes a member of Bündnis Bürgerenergie BBEn e.V.
10.05.2015 – „Energy in the hands of the people”: This is the motto of BBEn e.V. Citizen’s Energy Cooperatives stand for a regenerative energy transition oriented toward distributed structures, one which corresponds to democratic, social and ecological values. Members are primarily energy collectives and collectively organized power providers. With our collaboration, we would like to support the democratization of the energy transition.
Conference Report "Energy Storage Europe 2015"
24.03.2015 – Storage technologies are becoming an important element of energy systems. They ensure the flexibilization and an optimized integration of renewable energy sources. At the central industry meeting in Dusseldorf which took place at Energy Storage Europe between the March 9th and 11th, central questions surrounding technologies, business models and future markets were examined. In a short conference report, Büro F summarizes some of the topics discussed – and gives a short overview of the current status of storage technologies in Germany.
Program for the launch of energy-efficient CHP in Chile created
04.03.2015 – Cogeneration (CHP) plays an increasingly important role in the industrial and commercial field: the distributed combined production of electricity and warmth is cost-effective and halves the emission of greenhouse gases. We are convinced of this technology’s potential. For the CHP launch in Chile, we supported a developmental cooperation organization with the development of a program proposal. Our services included research, calculations, the development of working lines and the definition of indicators for success monitoring.
Small hydropower is booming in Chile – offers for 3 MW turbines sought
12.01.2015 – Renewable energies are experiencing an upturn in Chile – and that goes for small hydropower as well. Projects with a total volume of around 500 MW are in the process of environmental impact assessment or have already passed them. Büro F is seeking European manufacturers of small hydropower turbines on behalf of a project developer. Use this country’s market potential – contact us!
Presentation in Essen: “Renewable energies in Chile: Potentialities and market dynamics
17.11.2014 – In the context of a meeting of Chilean disseminators and German entrepreneurs, Büro F presents current developments in the area of renewable energies in Chile. Next to the potentialities of wind energy, small hydropower and solar energy, the changed legal framework conditions and most important actors are presented.